Ceasefire-Dr Harold Gunatillake

Image Source:Washingtontimes
Tehran celebrates as Iran and the United States agree to a two-week ceasefire. Iran has characterized the ceasefire as a ‘victory,’ attributing the achievement to national unity and patience in securing negotiations with the United States.
Both the U.S. and Iran consent to a fortnight-long ceasefire, contingent upon the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
In a significant development following weeks of escalating tensions, President Donald Trump has consented to a two-week ceasefire with Iran. Both parties indicate that this measure will facilitate the temporary reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most vital maritime chokepoints. The agreement,
announced late Tuesday, follows a tense period of negotiations, during which President Trump warned of severe military consequences should Iran fail to comply with U.S. demands to restore maritime access.
A Crisis at the World’s Energy Artery
The Strait of Hormuz had been effectively closed for weeks following U.S. and Israeli airstrikes and Iran’s subsequent tightening of control over the waterway. The shutdown trapped more than 800 vessels inside the Persian Gulf — including hundreds of oil tankers and gas carriers — triggering a global energy shock and sending oil prices soaring. Shipowners, insurers, and governments worldwide had been pressing for a resolution as maritime traffic slowed to a near standstill.
The Ceasefire Deal
According to The Independent, Mr Trump characterised the agreement as a “total and complete victory,” underscoring that the United States had already achieved its military objectives.
Iran’s foreign minister affirmed that Iranian forces would suspend defensive operations as long as U.S. attacks were discontinued. That safe passage through the strait would be granted for the two weeks.
The agreement reportedly materialised following Pakistan’s proposal of a framework that permits the continuation of diplomatic efforts whilst reopening the strait. Iran approved the proposal, and President Trump consented just hours before his own deadline for intensified military action.
Uncertainties and Global Reactions
Despite the announcement, essential details remain ambiguous. Iran has characterised the reopening as contingent upon “technical limitations,” whereas Trump has asserted that it will be “complete, immediate, and safe.” Maritime experts advise that even with a ceasefire in place, shipping operations cannot recommence instantaneously; crews, insurers, and operators must be assured that the hazard has substantially decreased.
International reactions have been swift.
Germany and the United Kingdom welcomed the ceasefire, with UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer preparing to travel to the Gulf to discuss the long-term stabilisation of the strait.
Israel expressed support for the U.S. decision but noted that the ceasefire does not apply to its operations in Lebanon.
What Comes Next
The two weeks are designed to enable negotiators to pursue a more comprehensive, long-term agreement. Former President Trump stated that the United States and Iran are “very far along” in deliberations concerning a more durable peace framework.
Meanwhile, Iran has indicated that its adherence is contingent solely on the cessation of U.S. hostilities
Currently, global markets, shipping companies, and governments are closely monitoring the situation. The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz — even if only temporarily — provides relief; however, the delicate nature of the truce keeps global tensions high.
Geopolitical Analysis: The Strategic Rationale Underpinning the Two-Week Ceasefire Between the United States and Iran
- The Ceasefire as a Tactical Pause, Not a Strategic Breakthrough The two-week ceasefire between the United States and Iran should be regarded as a transient period of de-escalation rather than a fundamental change in long-term strategic Both parties remain engaged in an ongoing struggle for regional influence, maritime dominance, and the credibility of deterrence. The agreement provides a temporary respite — no more —, but even that respite is a valuable resource, especially when global shipping routes and energy markets are under significant strain. For Washington, the pause permits the administration to assert a diplomatic success while avoiding an extended military engagement. For Tehran, it provides an opportunity to reinforce defences, address domestic pressures, and reevaluate its negotiating stance without seeming to surrender.
Why Both Sides Accepted the Deal
United States
- Avoids escalation that could attract both regional allies and
- Demonstrates that pressure tactics can yield
- Stabilises global oil prices and reassures
- Creates diplomatic space for partners such as the UK, Germany, and Gulf states to engage.
Iran
- Avoids additional S. military strikes that could potentially compromise vital military infrastructure.
- Maintains narrative control by framing the ceasefire as conditional and reversible.
- Gains international recognition for accepting a diplomatic proposal, notably through
Maintains leverage: the Strait may again be subject to restrictions if negotiations fail.
Both parties are acting based on strategic pragmatism rather than trust.
Further Development- Ceasefire plan published by Iran, not the one agreed by the U.S. White House, by AFP
Iranian State Media disseminated a ten-point plan which notably encompassed the permanent maintenance of Iranian authority over the strategically significant Strait of Hormuz, the termination of international sanctions on the nation, and the ‘acceptance’ of uranium enrichment.
These items would be contrary to Washington’s public statements regarding its expectations for Iran.
Trump said, “There is only one group of meaningful ‘POINTS’ that are acceptable to the United States, and we will be discussing these behind closed doors during these negotiations. “
Iran’s 10-point proposal would commit Washington to:
No new aggression against Iran
Continued Iranian control over the Strait of Hormuz Acceptance of enrichment
Removal of all primary sanctions Removal of all secondary sanctions
Termination of all UN Security Council resolutions Termination of all Board of Governors resolutions Payment of Compensation to Iran
Withdrawal of U.S. combat Forces from the region
Cessation of war on all fronts, including against the heroic Islamic Resistance of Lebanon
Ref: Firstpost, Global News, Free Press Journal, Baird Maritime, Times of India, The Independent, Straits Times, Yahoo, MSN’s 24, Business Times, News 24, CP24.

